Identification

Title

Assessment of the potential-allocation downscaling methodology for constructing spatial population projections

Abstract

The IIASA gridded population downscaling methodology is one of only a few existing models for constructing spatially explicit global population scenarios. Furthermore, this methodology is unique in that it does not employ proportional scaling techniques or extrapolated rates of change. Instead, the IIASA methodology applies a gravity-type spatial allocation model to distribute projected national-level change. In this technical note we present and analyze the IIASA methodology within the context of a hypothetical population situated in one-dimensional space. Our results indicate that border effects exert significant influence over spatial population outcomes. Furthermore, over a reasonable time horizon (100-150 years), we find that in most cases the IIASA methodology will have a smoothing effect on existing population distributions. This paper is the first in a series related to the construction of spatial population scenarios organized around the IIASA methodology, and the results presented within not only help to explain the IIASA scenarios, but inform feature research and refinements to the methodology.

Resource type

document

Resource locator

Unique resource identifier

code

http://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7fx78xj

codeSpace

Dataset language

eng

Spatial reference system

code identifying the spatial reference system

Classification of spatial data and services

Topic category

geoscientificInformation

Keywords

Keyword set

keyword value

Text

originating controlled vocabulary

title

Resource Type

reference date

date type

publication

effective date

2016-01-01T00:00:00Z

Keyword set

keyword value

EARTH SCIENCE > HUMAN DIMENSIONS > POPULATION > POPULATION ESTIMATES

EARTH SCIENCE > HUMAN DIMENSIONS > POPULATION > POPULATION DISTRIBUTION

EARTH SCIENCE SERVICES > MODELS > SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS

originating controlled vocabulary

title

U.S. National Aeronautics and Space Administration Global Change Master Directory

reference date

date type

revision

effective date

2021-09-17

Geographic location

West bounding longitude

East bounding longitude

North bounding latitude

South bounding latitude

Temporal reference

Temporal extent

Begin position

End position

Dataset reference date

date type

publication

effective date

2012-02-01T00:00:00Z

Frequency of update

Quality and validity

Lineage

Conformity

Data format

name of format

version of format

Constraints related to access and use

Constraint set

Use constraints

Copyright Author(s). This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

Limitations on public access

None

Responsible organisations

Responsible party

contact position

OpenSky Support

organisation name

UCAR/NCAR - Library

full postal address

PO Box 3000

Boulder

80307-3000

email address

opensky@ucar.edu

web address

http://opensky.ucar.edu/

name: homepage

responsible party role

pointOfContact

Metadata on metadata

Metadata point of contact

contact position

OpenSky Support

organisation name

UCAR/NCAR - Library

full postal address

PO Box 3000

Boulder

80307-3000

email address

opensky@ucar.edu

web address

http://opensky.ucar.edu/

name: homepage

responsible party role

pointOfContact

Metadata date

2023-08-18T18:06:20.172303

Metadata language

eng; USA